Reliably Assessing Growth with Longitudinal Diagnostic Classification Models     

Matthew J. Madison 《Educational Measurement》2019,38(2):68-78

Recent advances have enabled diagnostic classification models (DCMs) to accommodate longitudinal data. These longitudinal DCMs were developed to study how examinees change, or transition, between different attribute mastery statuses over time. This study examines using longitudinal DCMs as an approach to assessing growth and serves three purposes: (1) to define and evaluate two reliability measures to be used in the application of longitudinal DCMs; (2) through simulation, demonstrate that longitudinal DCM growth estimates have increased reliability compared to longitudinal item response theory models; and (3) through an empirical analysis, illustrate the practical and interpretive benefits of longitudinal DCMs. A discussion describes how longitudinal DCMs can be used as practical and reliable psychometric models when categorical and criterion‐referenced interpretations of growth are desired.  相似文献   

地球椭球模型中太阳位置计算的改进     

李文  赵永超 《中国科学院大学学报》2019,36(3):363-375

准确高效的太阳位置计算在遥感辐射定标、太阳能获取等多个领域具有重要应用价值。针对传统太阳赤纬角算法对不同年份数据差异考虑不足的问题，采用数值拟合法提出适用于不同年份的改进公式。根据误差曲线所呈现的周期性，采用傅里叶展开法提出以4年为周期的赤纬角改进算法，并推导出地球椭球模型下的太阳高度角公式。蒙气差影响太阳位置观测与计算。针对传统蒙气差算法在低仰角下误差较大的问题，提出0°~30°仰角下蒙气差的改进公式。把改进算法与相应的传统算法进行误差对比，结果表明，改进算法在太阳赤纬角、太阳高度角、低仰角下蒙气差计算的误差均明显降低，计算过程简单高效，符合相关工程项目应用需求。  相似文献   

传统武术的信仰危机与文化重生     

方国清  杨建营 《武汉体育学院学报》2019,53(7):71-76

传统武术信仰就是中国人对传统武术技艺、文化的实践以及精神追求。运用文献资料法、逻辑分析法、历史学研究方法等对我国传统武术的信仰内容、消解过程、危机原因等进行了深入的剖析和反思。研究认为：中华武术是构成中国人身体领域中的信仰，这一信仰在近一个世纪里渐渐出现了危机，信仰的危机才是中华武术发展没落的根源。结论认为：要拯救传统武术，必先拯救传统武术的信仰，即恢复民众对传统武术的珍爱。无疑，对中华武术的文化自尊、自信是恢复信仰的思想认知前提；重新找回没落的传统武术技击之道是恢复信仰的核心任务；潜心务实、拒绝虚假繁荣，回归传统武术本然才是传统武术人文精神重生的路向。  相似文献   

科技人力资本视角下杰青科学家资助年龄对资助效果的影响——以杰青基金地球科学项目为例     

田人合  郑军卫  张志强  于洁  杨芳娟 《图书情报工作》2019,63(22):91-105

[目的/意义] 杰青基金实施25年来，资助者年龄呈大龄化趋势发展，深入分析该现象对完成杰青基金的影响，对未来杰青基金管理具有重要意义。[方法/过程] 研究以1994-2018年杰青基金地球科学项目为研究对象，构建科研论文产出效率、创新能力和学术影响力三个评价指标，提出"科技人力资本投入-科研产出"理论模型及假设，采用DID模型克服样本选择性偏误所导致的内生性问题，验证理论假设，实现对杰青基金资助年龄异质性的研究。[结果/结论] 实证结果表明：杰青科学家大龄化趋势日趋严重，存在明显的45岁现象；杰青基金实施20年中，支持"资助年龄越大，资助效应越好"假设的比例较低；三个评价指标维度，资助效应最大且资助年龄在39-42岁之间的年份在杰青基金实施20年中所占比例最大。因此，无论从杰青基金设立宗旨、还是从评估结果来看，都应该避免杰青科学家大龄化趋势，扩大对中低龄优秀青年人才的资助。  相似文献   

体育文化交流对中美关系改善的作用及启示——基于中美建交40年的历史考察     

肖焕禹  倪京帅 《武汉体育学院学报》2019,53(10):12-18

运用文献资料等研究方法，基于"契机-轨迹"理论，对中美建交40年来体育文化交流情况进行了回顾和梳理，分析了外交政策导向下中美体育文化交流"契机"的形成和"轨迹"的发展，解读中美建交的历史背景和体育文化交流的特征与价值。认为：在"和平与发展""构建开放合作和谐社会""新时代构建新型国际关系"外交政策的影响下，中美体育文化交流具有体育文化财富的共享性、体育竞技的对等性、体育文化交流的公共性特征；中美体育文化交流促进中美建交，促进中美和平发展；改变世界格局，获得话语权；树立国家形象，展示大国责任；深化体育改革，促进社会发展。  相似文献   

Digital Module 05: Diagnostic Measurement—The G‐DINA Framework https://ncme.elevate.commpartners.com     

Wenchao Ma  Jimmy de la Torre 《Educational Measurement》2019,38(2):114-115

In this ITEMS module, we introduce the generalized deterministic inputs, noisy “and” gate (G‐DINA) model, which is a general framework for specifying, estimating, and evaluating a wide variety of cognitive diagnosis models. The module contains a nontechnical introduction to diagnostic measurement, an introductory overview of the G‐DINA model, as well as common special cases, and a review of model‐data fit evaluation practices within this framework. We use the flexible GDINA R package, which is available for free within the R environment and provides a user‐friendly graphical interface in addition to the code‐driven layer. The digital module also contains videos of worked examples, solutions to data activity questions, curated resources, a glossary, and quizzes with diagnostic feedback.  相似文献   

基于SeaWiFS对月观测数据的月球辐照度模型分析     

曾祥钊  唐伶俐 《中国科学院大学学报》2019,36(5):663-670

由于月表没有风和流水的侵蚀，月球的反射特性十分稳定，非常适合作为传感器辐射特性监视和定标的参考光源。基于地基对月观测数据，研究人员提出月球辐照度模型。然而现有的模型精度有限，难以满足高精度的应用需求。基于SeaWiFS对月观测数据，对月球反射特性的影响因子以及现有的ROLO和MT2009这两种月球辐照度模型进行分析，为进一步优化月球辐照度模型提供借鉴。  相似文献   

Influence of Process Parameters on Chlorinated Biocide Decontamination by li-CO2 on Artificially Contaminated Model Materials     

Tiziana Lombardo  Marie Wörle  Vera Hubert  Erwin Hildbrand  Christina Hinterleitner  Ingo Mayer 《文物保护研究》2020,65(2):65-76

ABSTRACT

Previously, heavy use of biocides for the treatment of objects made of organic materials in museum collections (e.g. ethnographic, historical collections) was very common. Now suitable decontamination methods/technologies are being sought. A decontamination treatment by li-CO₂ was optimized that considered the specific requirements of museum objects. The treatment was tested on model materials artificially contaminated with biocide solutions containing dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT), pentachlorophenol (PCP), lindane, and permethrin or cypermethrin. High decontamination was achieved for DDT, lindane, PCP, and permethrin on artificially biocide loaded wool and wood model materials. Optimal process parameter settings for li-CO₂ decontamination include a single 30?min cycle for woolen materials and three sequential 30?min cycles each for wood. These methods allow a reduction of at least 90% of all biocides for wool and between 70% and 85% for wood. Decontamination of the latter was more effective for less polar biocides as DDT and permethrin. Despite a significant improvement in decontamination for wood using co-solvents such as acetone, ethanol, and methyl tertiary-butyl ether (MTBE), their use is not recommended due to the increased risk of damage to the objects, in particular if a surface coating is present.  相似文献   

中国马拉松赛事参赛者的满意度测评指数模型的构建     

梁金辉  胡智勇  胡德刚 《首都体育学院学报》2020,(3):233-240

借鉴ACSI顾客满意度测评指数模型,结合中国群众性马拉松赛事的特点,运用探索性因子分析法建立中国马拉松赛事参赛者满意度测评指标体系,基于此,构建中国马拉松赛事参赛者满意度测评指数模型。研究发现:中国马拉松赛事参赛者满意度测评指数模型的指标包括参赛者期望、硬服务质量感知、软服务质量感知、感知价值、参赛者满意度、参赛者抱怨、参赛者忠诚度7个因素。就各个自变量对中国马拉松赛事参赛者满意度的影响路径来看,参赛者对服务的预期通过对软服务质量感知、硬服务质量感知间接正向影响中国马拉松赛事参赛者满意度;参赛者的服务质量感知既直接又间接地正向影响参赛者的满意度,参赛者的软服务质量感知通过硬服务质量感知和感知价值间接正向影响参赛者的满意度,参赛者的硬服务质量感知通过感知价值间接正向影响参赛者的满意度。就各个自变量对中国马拉松赛事参赛者满意度的影响程度而言,参赛者的软服务质量感知对其满意度影响最大,其次依次为硬服务质量感知、服务期望和感知价值。  相似文献   

The determinants of the intention to continue voluntary football refereeing     

《Sport Management Review》2020,23(2):242-255

Competitive sports require a regulating body of referees to enforce the rules for the effective operation of the game. However, the number of referees is generally decreasing, leading to organisational problems at the amateur level. The purpose of this research is to identify the factors that determine the intention to continue voluntary refereeing in the context of football in Germany. Combining several concepts as predictors, including both the antecedents and the experience of volunteering, in this study, the authors extend the understanding about volunteers’ intentions to continue their activity and address the research gap regarding the analyses of specific volunteer groups such as referees. By means of an online questionnaire, the authors surveyed voluntary football referees in Germany (n = 4541). Regression analysis reveals the motive of self-orientation, respect shown by athletes, coaches, and spectators towards referees, compatibility of refereeing with one’s occupational and private life, perceived organisational support, and referees’ satisfaction to predict referees’ positive intention to continue with their activity. Simultaneously, experiences of offences during refereeing negatively influence this intention, and younger referees show higher intentions to continue their activity than do older referees. Because volunteer recruitment and retention are expensive, the findings of this study facilitate the improvement of effective retention strategies for the federations responsible for referees.  相似文献